Tornadoes, high winds, and wildfires have killed at least 40 people across more than a half-dozen states since Thursday.
Threat level: Although the Sunday forecast was less bleak, more severe thunderstorms with possible tornadoes were expected from Pennsylvania to Florida.
We are actively monitoring the severe tornadoes and storms that have impacted many States across the South and Midwest — 36 innocent lives have been lost, and many more devastated. The National Guard have been deployed to Arkansas, and my Administration is ready to assist State…
— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) March 16, 2025
- Fatalities occurred in Georgia, Mississippi, Arkansas and Alabama from tornadoes that raced at highway speeds on Friday through Saturday night and into Sunday morning.
- States of emergency were in effect due to storms in Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama and Arkansas, where President Trump said in a Sunday statement the National Guard had been deployed.
- The storms had prompted the National Weather Service to issue a rare “high risk” threat designation for Mississippi and Alabama on Saturday, as multiple rounds of intense thunderstorms swept across these states.
- Hard-hit communities include Taylorsville, Miss., and Calera, Ala., among many others, after tornadoes struck at night.
- The storms even targeted at least one NWS office, with forecasters at NWS Birmingham forced to take shelter as a tornado passed close to their building Saturday evening.
Situation report: At least 12 people have died as a result of the severe storms in Missouri, six in Mississippi, and three in Alabama and Arkansas.
- Dust storms that caused low visibility on Friday resulted in road crashes that killed at least eight people in Kansas and four others in Texas.
- Oklahoma officials confirmed at least four deaths due to “dangerous” wildfires with “straight-line-winds” that saw Gov. Kevin Stitt declare an emergency in 12 counties on Saturday.
State of play: Severe thunderstorms were causing scattered damaging wind swaths and tornadoes across the Ohio Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Southeast on Sunday evening.
- Tornado warnings were in effect for parts of Florida and North Carolina, and watches for other portions N.C. and southern Virginia as of Sunday night.
- About 38 million people live in areas designated at “slight” to “enhanced” risk of severe thunderstorms on Sunday.
- Dozens of tornadoes, many of them confirmed by the NWS, have been reported from the Midwest to the Southeast since Friday.
- These numbers are likely to increase on Sunday, despite the lower overall risk level.
Yes, but: As damaging and deadly as this event was, it was not the historic outbreak feared in some states, particularly Alabama.
- Meteorologists are likely to spend years studying what set this storm apart from past landmark outbreaks in order to better forecast them ahead of time.
Context: Climate change is altering the environment in which severe thunderstorms and tornadoes form.
- Studies show that while some ingredients, such as humidity and atmospheric instability, are likely to increase with a warming climate, others may do the opposite.
Yes, but: When the right ingredients are present, as they have been in recent days, climate change may result in more severe weather outbreaks.
The intrigue: Tornado outbreaks in the Southeast, also known as “Dixie Alley,” have been particularly severe in recent years, beginning in March.
Between the lines: This severe weather outbreak has put NOAA’s ability to deal with a large-scale, deadly weather event to the test, following the layoff of approximately 800 employees, including more than 100 meteorologists, in late February.
- These layoffs reduced staffing at some local weather forecast offices to threadbare levels, causing some to reduce their services.
- More layoffs of up to around 1,000 NOAA employees are possible in coming weeks, though it’s not clear if those would fall at other parts of the agency than NWS.
The bottom line: The tornado and damaging straight-line wind threat is not over yet, as this long-lasting outbreak stretches into another day.
