The real likelihood of Trump’s two stimulus checks

By Owen

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The real likelihood of Trump's two stimulus checks

People got stimulus checks, like the ones that were sent out during the COVID-19 pandemic. These are direct payments from the government to people to help them out financially during economic downturns. Their main goal is to get people to spend money, make household budgets easier, and ultimately boost the economy as a whole.

As part of extraordinary steps taken to deal with the pandemic’s economic effects, Donald Trump authorized two rounds of stimulus checks while he was president. Now that it’s possible for Trump to run for president again, people and people on social media are wondering if the same kind of help could be given again. But a lot of experts are still not sure.

Is another stimulus check likely?

It’s important to look at the current state of the economy in order to figure out if a new round of stimulus checks is possible. Some people think the U.S. economy is having a hard time, but the numbers show otherwise.

At around 4.1%, the unemployment rate is very close to all-time lows, and the country’s GDP is growing quickly. Inflation, which was a big problem in the past, is now going down and is getting close to the Federal Reserve’s 2% annual goal. While the economy does have some problems, these conditions show that it is not yet in crisis mode.

Economists generally agree that stimulus checks should only be used when the economy is in very bad shape, when it faces big risks or downturns. A senior economist at LendingTree named Jacob Channel puts it simply: “Stimulus measures are put in place when the economy is in a critical state, which is not the case right now.”

What conditions would necessitate another stimulus check?

It’s important to remember that no president, not even Donald Trump, can decide on their own to send out a stimulus check. The laws that must first be approved by Congress are linked to these payments. This was true for all three stimulus checks that were given out during the pandemic—two during Trump’s presidency and one during Biden’s.

Any new stimulus check would have to be approved by the legislature before it could be given out. Right now, this doesn’t look likely because Congress is more focused on things like cutting taxes and spending less on government programs. Political experts say that a big stimulus package is not at the top of the legislative agenda right now.

The real likelihood of Trump's two stimulus checks
Source (Google.com)

Could another stimulus check impact inflation?

In the United States, inflation is still one of the most closely watched economic issues. It is still a touchy issue for both policymakers and consumers, even though it has dropped a lot since its high points.

During the pandemic, some experts said that inflation went up a lot because of federal spending, such as stimulus checks. If new payments were made today, it might cause inflation to rise again, which is something that both the Federal Reserve and lawmakers want to avoid.

Jacob Channel adds, “Improving consumer demand with another check right now might not be a good idea because it might make the risk of inflation going back up higher than it needs to be.”

What can we expect from Trump’s economic policies?

If Donald Trump were to run for office again, he would probably shift his attention away from the economy and toward other issues.

For example, it makes more sense to extend the tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 than to propose new stimulus checks. This bill, which focused on lowering taxes for businesses and boosting investment, is very similar to the economic plans and priorities of Republicans.

Additionally, the general political climate in Congress suggests that lawmakers are more focused on limiting government spending and reducing the federal deficit than putting in place large-scale measures to boost the economy. Because of these factors, it doesn’t look like a new round of direct payments would get the support it needs.

Trump’s economic policies in the future are likely to focus on tax cuts, less government oversight, and business-friendly incentives. People think that these methods will work better in the long term to boost the economy without the problems that come with giving money directly, like inflationary pressures.

People are interested in the idea of another stimulus check, but it is very unlikely to happen because of the way the economy is right now and what the political priorities are. Even if Trump wins again, his administration is more likely to focus on bigger economic policies than on direct payments like they did during the pandemic.

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